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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+5.10vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+3.55vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.92+4.32vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+3.15vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+2.38vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+1.38vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.920.00vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12-1.39vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.31+0.41vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.47-1.08vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-4.22vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.79-4.29vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.12-6.45vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.63-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.55Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.32Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.15Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.41Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.92Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.71Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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11.13Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| William Hawk | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Max Clapp | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 13.6% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.