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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+5.49vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.12+4.41vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.92+4.31vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.47+4.80vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+0.88vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.79+1.88vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.63+3.98vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93-0.81vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.31+0.45vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-3.64vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-4.20vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.92-4.70vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-5.78vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.97-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.31Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.8Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.88Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.98Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.45Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.36Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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6.95Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| William Hawk | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 10.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 38.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Max Clapp | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.