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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+5.12vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+4.40vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+2.71vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+3.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.40vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+1.38vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.63+3.98vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.92-0.76vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.31+0.45vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92-2.62vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.47-2.09vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.79-4.23vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.12-6.44vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.09-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.4Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.98Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.45Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.38Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.91Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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7.77Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 38.6% |
| Max Clapp | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 14.1% |
| William Hawk | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 12.5% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.