← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.79+6.59vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.97+4.86vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.38+2.73vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.12+2.72vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.09+1.85vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.92+1.44vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.92+0.03vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania3.12-1.39vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.31+0.47vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.24-3.73vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.93-3.70vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-4.73vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.47-4.29vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College1.63-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.59Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
6.86Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.73Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
-
6.72Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
6.85Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.44Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.03Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
-
6.61University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
-
9.47Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
6.27Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.3University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.71Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
-
11.14Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Alexander | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| William Hawk | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Max Clapp | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 15.5% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 15.1% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.