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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+5.12vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.47+6.54vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+4.27vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.92+3.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.79+2.83vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+0.77vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-1.51vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97-0.90vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.92-1.63vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.12-3.29vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-4.24vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-4.68vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.31-3.76vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.63-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.83Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.49Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.1Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.24Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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11.18Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| William Hawk | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Max Clapp | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 14.5% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 15.1% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.