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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.43+2.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.76+0.01vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.78+3.23vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.97-1.47vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-1.28+2.52vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.45-0.57vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31+0.25vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-1.10-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-2.26+0.10vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.93-3.78vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Boston University0.4310.1%1st Place
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2.01Brown University1.7643.9%1st Place
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6.23Bentley University-0.783.5%1st Place
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2.53Boston University0.9727.1%1st Place
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7.52Bentley University-1.281.5%1st Place
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5.43Bentley University-0.455.1%1st Place
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7.25Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.311.7%1st Place
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7.1Bentley University-1.101.8%1st Place
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9.1University of New Hampshire-2.260.4%1st Place
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6.22University of New Hampshire-0.933.5%1st Place
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8.66Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cabell | 10.1% | 13.8% | 21.6% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Brock | 43.9% | 29.5% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 27.1% | 28.9% | 22.4% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 10.3% |
| John O'Connell | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 8.8% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 7.0% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 39.8% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Jason Dank | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.