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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.34+5.20vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.61+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia-2.63+7.30vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound0.36+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.60-0.50vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.26-0.64vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.87-3.32vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.02-4.61vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.15-2.80vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.21-5.60vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.99-8.42vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound-1.42-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2University of Washington0.340.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Oregon0.610.1%1st Place
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11.3University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Puget Sound0.360.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Washington0.600.1%1st Place
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6.36Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.68Western Washington University0.870.1%1st Place
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4.39Western Washington University1.020.2%1st Place
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7.2Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Victoria0.210.1%1st Place
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4.58Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Puget Sound-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Scull | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Emberley | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 13.3% | 74.1% |
| David Eva | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Jake Antles | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Charles Hartman | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Debbi Kenote | 17.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Carl Fixsen | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Loeppky | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 13.9% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Cohan | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 13.0% | 43.4% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.