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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.92+6.15vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.12+4.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+2.73vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24+2.32vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97+2.24vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.47+2.96vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-0.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.79-0.34vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.12-2.31vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-2.65vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.92-3.64vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-5.25vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.31-3.74vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.63-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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5.73Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.96Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.66Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.69Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.26Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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11.15Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Clapp | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| William Hawk | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 13.3% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.