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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.92+6.14vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+5.02vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.79+4.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+2.39vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97+1.19vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09-0.55vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.47+0.77vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.63+2.31vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-3.28vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.38-5.17vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.92-4.65vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.31-3.78vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.12-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.76Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.35Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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11.31Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.83Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.22Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hawk | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% |
| Daniel Vail | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 41.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Max Clapp | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 13.6% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.