Race 1C

82nd-annual-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Timothy Greenhouse 11.8% 13.6% 12.1% 10.3% 8.8% 8.8% 6.9% 7.1% 5.1% 5.8% 3.8% 2.9% 1.9% 1.1%
Drake Lyon 10.4% 9.5% 8.3% 8.9% 7.4% 7.7% 8.0% 9.9% 8.4% 6.1% 6.6% 3.7% 2.6% 2.5%
Josh Dochoda 10.2% 11.4% 9.7% 8.8% 7.9% 9.7% 7.3% 7.6% 6.9% 6.7% 6.2% 4.2% 2.3% 1.1%
Franco Bilik 6.9% 8.1% 9.6% 8.4% 8.0% 8.1% 9.1% 7.2% 6.5% 7.6% 7.5% 5.6% 4.2% 3.2%
Nick Digiovanni 6.6% 9.0% 9.2% 8.1% 9.9% 7.6% 7.3% 7.6% 8.0% 7.1% 7.1% 6.1% 3.9% 2.5%
Matt Safford 9.2% 7.2% 7.9% 8.4% 9.7% 8.4% 8.2% 7.0% 6.8% 8.1% 6.9% 5.5% 4.8% 1.9%
Martin Tipton 3.3% 2.2% 4.1% 3.7% 4.1% 4.3% 4.5% 3.9% 5.1% 5.5% 8.9% 10.3% 15.7% 24.4%
Stephen Duncan 9.4% 10.2% 9.4% 7.5% 8.3% 6.9% 7.5% 9.2% 6.5% 6.6% 5.8% 6.4% 4.1% 2.2%
Brendan Read 9.1% 7.2% 7.5% 8.1% 9.2% 11.0% 8.2% 6.9% 8.4% 5.8% 6.5% 5.8% 4.6% 1.7%
Tanner Probst 3.7% 2.5% 3.1% 4.7% 4.5% 4.6% 6.1% 5.6% 7.7% 7.1% 8.9% 11.0% 13.9% 16.6%
Kurran Singh 2.8% 2.7% 2.6% 3.5% 3.6% 5.1% 4.6% 5.0% 5.2% 7.4% 7.3% 12.4% 15.0% 22.8%
Christopher Keller 5.1% 4.5% 4.1% 6.8% 5.9% 5.8% 7.5% 6.7% 8.8% 9.9% 7.4% 9.0% 10.2% 8.3%
Connor Ratcliff 5.4% 5.0% 4.9% 6.3% 5.3% 5.8% 7.0% 7.5% 7.8% 8.4% 8.1% 9.9% 11.5% 7.1%
Dane Pedersen 6.1% 6.9% 7.5% 6.5% 7.4% 6.2% 7.8% 8.8% 8.8% 7.9% 9.0% 7.2% 5.3% 4.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.