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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+5.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.91+3.81vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.09+2.42vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.75+2.59vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76+1.68vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.74+0.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.20+1.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.43-0.42vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-2.52vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.66+0.18vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.17-2.44vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-5.40vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.57-2.74vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.86-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.81Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.42Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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6.59Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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10.18Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.56Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.26Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Matt Safford | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Brendan Read | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Keller | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Dane Pedersen | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Stephen Duncan | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 23.2% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Martin Tipton | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 24.2% |
| Tanner Probst | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.