Race 3C

82nd-annual-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Stephen Duncan 8.5% 9.2% 10.7% 8.9% 9.3% 7.5% 7.8% 7.8% 8.6% 5.7% 4.4% 5.6% 4.1% 1.9%
Matt Safford 9.5% 10.5% 8.7% 7.6% 7.8% 8.9% 7.3% 9.0% 8.5% 7.9% 5.1% 3.7% 4.0% 1.5%
Kurran Singh 3.5% 3.3% 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 4.9% 4.4% 4.7% 5.1% 5.4% 9.3% 10.9% 17.0% 21.0%
Josh Dochoda 9.3% 9.6% 11.1% 9.2% 8.1% 9.6% 8.5% 6.5% 6.3% 7.1% 6.5% 4.5% 2.2% 1.5%
Drake Lyon 7.2% 8.8% 9.0% 9.5% 7.7% 7.6% 7.9% 5.9% 8.7% 7.8% 7.7% 6.5% 3.2% 2.5%
Nick Digiovanni 8.4% 7.3% 9.2% 9.1% 8.0% 8.6% 7.7% 8.7% 7.0% 6.9% 6.5% 5.0% 5.1% 2.5%
Timothy Greenhouse 13.9% 12.5% 12.3% 9.6% 9.5% 7.7% 7.8% 7.3% 5.5% 6.3% 3.0% 2.2% 1.9% 0.5%
Martin Tipton 3.5% 3.0% 2.4% 3.8% 3.8% 3.5% 4.0% 5.5% 5.1% 6.3% 7.2% 10.6% 14.5% 26.8%
Franco Bilik 8.2% 7.1% 6.6% 8.2% 9.1% 7.7% 9.4% 9.6% 6.4% 7.0% 8.0% 6.2% 3.6% 2.9%
Dane Pedersen 6.1% 5.7% 5.8% 6.6% 8.1% 6.4% 7.9% 7.6% 7.8% 7.9% 8.5% 9.7% 7.6% 4.3%
Christopher Keller 4.8% 5.1% 4.5% 5.6% 5.8% 7.1% 5.5% 6.5% 9.0% 8.0% 10.3% 8.5% 10.2% 9.1%
Connor Ratcliff 5.2% 4.5% 4.5% 5.1% 6.3% 6.2% 7.0% 7.2% 9.4% 7.9% 8.8% 9.7% 8.7% 9.5%
Brendan Read 8.8% 9.9% 7.5% 8.5% 8.1% 9.3% 9.0% 7.4% 7.3% 6.9% 6.6% 4.8% 3.8% 2.1%
Tanner Probst 3.1% 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 4.6% 5.0% 5.8% 6.3% 5.3% 8.9% 8.1% 12.1% 14.1% 13.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.