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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+4.91vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.75+4.36vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+3.43vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.20+4.44vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+1.71vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.74+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76-0.73vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.69-1.27vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.66+1.19vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.09-4.50vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.17-2.45vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.43-4.39vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.57-2.72vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.86-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.36Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.69Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.73Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.5Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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8.55Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.28Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Matt Safford | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Stephen Duncan | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Brendan Read | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 24.4% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
| Dane Pedersen | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Martin Tipton | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 24.9% |
| Tanner Probst | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.