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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.09+4.37vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.20+6.15vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.76+3.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+2.77vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.74+1.73vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.91+0.14vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.66+2.84vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.75-1.46vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.43-1.28vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-3.52vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.57-0.56vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-5.42vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.86-3.62vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.17-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.77Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.54Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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10.44Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.58Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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8.31Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Greenhouse | 12.5% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Brendan Read | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 21.4% |
| Matt Safford | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Dane Pedersen | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Stephen Duncan | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Martin Tipton | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 26.6% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Tanner Probst | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 15.3% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.