← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+5.32vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.76+4.29vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.20+5.38vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.75+2.59vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.66+5.13vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.09-0.46vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.91-1.23vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.74-1.43vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College2.17-0.37vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.43-2.27vs Predicted
-
11Yale University1.57-0.56vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.69-5.22vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.75-6.49vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania1.86-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
-
6.29University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.38Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
-
6.59Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
-
10.13Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
-
5.54Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
-
5.77Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
-
6.57Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
8.63Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
-
7.73Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
-
10.44Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
-
6.78Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.51Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.33University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Duncan | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Brendan Read | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Keller | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% |
| Matt Safford | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 22.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% |
| Dane Pedersen | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 27.2% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Tanner Probst | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.