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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+5.49vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.09+3.24vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+3.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.43+3.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.69+1.90vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.75+0.67vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.91-1.24vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.20+0.32vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76-2.45vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.17-1.38vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.74-4.39vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.86-2.52vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.66-3.03vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.57-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.24Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.67Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.76Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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8.62Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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6.61Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.27Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Digiovanni | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Duncan | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Dane Pedersen | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Franco Bilik | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Matt Safford | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
| Brendan Read | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Tanner Probst | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 16.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 21.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.