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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+5.41vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.09+3.24vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.20+5.43vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.76+2.55vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.69+1.89vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.43+1.73vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.17+1.20vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.91-1.91vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.86+0.56vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.57+0.42vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.66-0.86vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.74-5.41vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-6.66vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.75-7.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.24Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.89Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.73Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.2Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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6.09Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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10.42Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.59Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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6.41Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Digiovanni | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 14.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Keller | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% |
| Brendan Read | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Franco Bilik | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Dane Pedersen | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Josh Dochoda | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.0% |
| Martin Tipton | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 26.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 23.1% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Matt Safford | 8.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.