← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University0.43+2.95vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.76+0.07vs Predicted
-
3Bentley University-0.78+3.16vs Predicted
-
4Boston University0.97-1.52vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire-0.93+1.34vs Predicted
-
6Bentley University-0.45-0.51vs Predicted
-
7Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01+1.73vs Predicted
-
8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-0.79vs Predicted
-
9Bentley University-1.10-2.03vs Predicted
-
10Bentley University-1.28-2.51vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire-2.26-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.95Boston University0.439.9%1st Place
-
2.07Brown University1.7641.6%1st Place
-
6.16Bentley University-0.783.6%1st Place
-
2.48Boston University0.9728.9%1st Place
-
6.34University of New Hampshire-0.933.5%1st Place
-
5.49Bentley University-0.454.2%1st Place
-
8.73Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.1%1st Place
-
7.21Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.1%1st Place
-
6.97Bentley University-1.102.2%1st Place
-
7.49Bentley University-1.282.1%1st Place
-
9.13University of New Hampshire-2.260.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cabell | 9.9% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 20.1% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 41.6% | 28.6% | 17.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 28.9% | 29.2% | 21.1% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| John O'Connell | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Jason Dank | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 29.4% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 8.6% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Brett Tardie | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 10.2% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 20.2% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.