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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.34+5.18vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.60+3.39vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.99+1.50vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.02-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.36+0.11vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-2.63+3.32vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.21-2.65vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.61-4.65vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-0.15-3.73vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.26-5.72vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.87-8.11vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound-1.42-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18University of Washington0.340.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Washington0.600.1%1st Place
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4.5Western Washington University0.990.2%1st Place
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4.38Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Puget Sound0.360.1%1st Place
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11.32University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Victoria0.210.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Oregon0.610.1%1st Place
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7.27Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.28Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.89Western Washington University0.870.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Puget Sound-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Scull | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Jake Antles | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ian Reeves | 15.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 14.3% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| David Eva | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 15.0% | 73.0% |
| Sarah Loeppky | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Emberley | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Carl Fixsen | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 18.8% | 11.4% | 1.1% |
| Charles Hartman | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Cohan | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 42.2% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.