Race 9C

82nd-annual-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Josh Dochoda 9.2% 12.4% 10.3% 9.3% 9.8% 7.6% 8.6% 6.2% 6.7% 5.8% 4.9% 4.2% 3.4% 1.6%
Timothy Greenhouse 13.3% 11.8% 11.4% 10.4% 10.7% 8.1% 8.2% 7.8% 6.9% 3.5% 3.3% 2.6% 1.3% 0.7%
Drake Lyon 8.9% 9.3% 8.3% 8.9% 6.9% 8.4% 7.4% 9.2% 7.0% 6.8% 7.4% 6.4% 3.8% 1.3%
Christopher Keller 4.0% 5.0% 6.7% 5.3% 5.6% 6.1% 6.9% 6.3% 8.2% 8.5% 8.6% 10.6% 10.3% 7.9%
Stephen Duncan 7.9% 8.5% 8.9% 9.7% 8.3% 8.5% 8.1% 7.1% 8.5% 6.7% 6.3% 5.1% 4.1% 2.3%
Dane Pedersen 6.6% 5.1% 6.5% 6.3% 7.1% 7.5% 6.8% 7.9% 8.3% 8.6% 8.6% 7.2% 7.6% 5.9%
Franco Bilik 9.2% 9.1% 7.7% 10.1% 7.7% 7.7% 8.5% 7.0% 8.2% 7.8% 5.9% 4.9% 4.1% 2.1%
Matt Safford 9.2% 9.6% 10.0% 6.7% 9.8% 6.6% 7.4% 7.9% 6.6% 7.3% 6.8% 5.5% 3.9% 2.7%
Nick Digiovanni 8.8% 7.3% 7.2% 9.8% 8.5% 10.0% 8.6% 6.7% 7.5% 7.8% 7.6% 4.8% 3.4% 2.0%
Kurran Singh 3.1% 2.3% 2.5% 3.1% 3.1% 4.7% 5.5% 5.9% 5.1% 7.1% 7.9% 10.8% 15.6% 23.3%
Brendan Read 9.1% 7.9% 7.9% 8.9% 9.1% 9.5% 6.9% 7.6% 7.4% 8.2% 5.1% 5.9% 4.3% 2.2%
Tanner Probst 3.0% 3.7% 3.4% 3.8% 4.8% 5.9% 3.7% 7.8% 6.1% 9.3% 9.8% 10.6% 11.9% 16.2%
Connor Ratcliff 5.2% 5.3% 6.3% 4.3% 5.4% 5.0% 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 7.7% 9.2% 9.5% 9.4% 8.3%
Martin Tipton 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% 3.4% 3.2% 4.4% 5.6% 4.8% 4.7% 4.9% 8.6% 11.9% 16.9% 23.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.