Race 10C

82nd-annual-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Josh Dochoda 9.7% 11.7% 10.8% 9.6% 7.8% 8.0% 8.2% 9.0% 6.2% 5.3% 4.2% 4.3% 3.8% 1.4%
Drake Lyon 9.8% 10.7% 8.0% 7.9% 7.9% 8.1% 9.0% 7.3% 9.5% 6.9% 6.3% 3.3% 3.1% 2.2%
Kurran Singh 3.5% 2.5% 3.9% 3.1% 4.6% 5.0% 3.9% 5.1% 4.1% 7.1% 7.4% 11.7% 15.5% 22.6%
Dane Pedersen 4.9% 6.9% 7.3% 6.5% 6.9% 7.6% 7.8% 7.0% 8.1% 8.2% 7.2% 9.1% 8.2% 4.3%
Brendan Read 7.9% 7.6% 10.8% 8.4% 8.3% 7.2% 7.2% 8.6% 7.8% 7.5% 7.0% 5.7% 3.6% 2.4%
Nick Digiovanni 8.6% 7.8% 8.4% 8.1% 9.4% 7.5% 8.6% 9.1% 7.5% 5.4% 6.6% 5.5% 5.2% 2.3%
Matt Safford 9.4% 9.8% 9.8% 8.5% 7.9% 9.1% 7.1% 7.8% 9.5% 6.0% 5.2% 4.4% 3.7% 1.8%
Timothy Greenhouse 13.0% 12.3% 9.9% 10.9% 9.3% 9.0% 6.8% 6.5% 5.6% 5.9% 4.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8%
Stephen Duncan 9.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.8% 8.2% 9.4% 9.5% 8.0% 6.5% 8.1% 6.8% 5.2% 2.5% 2.0%
Franco Bilik 7.8% 8.0% 6.7% 9.3% 8.1% 8.3% 8.8% 6.8% 7.2% 7.5% 7.6% 6.3% 5.4% 2.2%
Christopher Keller 5.6% 4.4% 4.5% 5.3% 6.8% 6.7% 5.7% 6.9% 7.2% 9.8% 9.3% 8.9% 8.8% 10.1%
Martin Tipton 2.6% 2.8% 2.2% 3.0% 3.4% 4.1% 4.7% 4.5% 5.9% 6.8% 8.9% 11.2% 13.8% 26.1%
Connor Ratcliff 4.8% 5.1% 5.9% 5.2% 5.4% 5.3% 7.0% 7.9% 8.2% 8.6% 9.4% 9.0% 9.9% 8.3%
Tanner Probst 3.4% 3.4% 3.8% 4.4% 6.0% 4.7% 5.7% 5.5% 6.7% 6.9% 9.5% 11.8% 14.7% 13.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.