← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.60+6.40vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston4.09+3.54vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.24+2.04vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.89vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.47vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.78+4.38vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.53+0.47vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.71-1.33vs Predicted
-
9Hampton University3.02+0.38vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.39+2.11vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.92vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-1.98vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.33vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University1.61+0.27vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University2.55-3.68vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University2.43-4.20vs Predicted
-
17University of Miami1.82-3.00vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University2.95-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.4Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
5.54College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
5.04Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
7.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
5.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
10.38George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
-
7.47Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
6.67Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
9.38Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
-
12.11Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
10.08U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
-
12.67SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
14.27Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
-
11.32Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
-
11.8Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
-
14.0University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
-
9.48Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Maxwell Brill | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| John Lawless | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.7% |
| James Mcavoy | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 29.8% |
| James Jacob | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Phillip Schofield | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 24.7% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.