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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+4.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.18vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+3.92vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.39+7.81vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24-0.05vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.09-0.54vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.53+0.40vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-0.92vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.78+1.29vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-0.10vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.95-1.20vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.65vs Predicted
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13Hampton University3.02-3.76vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.43-2.57vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.55-3.73vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.09vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.61-2.43vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.82-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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11.81Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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4.95Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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5.46College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.29George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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9.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.8Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.24Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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11.43Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.27Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
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12.91SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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14.57Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.7% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam White | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Maxwell Brill | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Phillip Schofield | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| James Jacob | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
| John Lawless | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 14.5% |
| James Mcavoy | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 18.0% | 31.6% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.