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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+5.31vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+6.62vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+2.65vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09+0.42vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.54vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+2.63vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.95+1.63vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.55+2.28vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.53-2.40vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.39+1.07vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.74vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.13vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.52vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.82-1.11vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.78-5.57vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.43-5.15vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.61-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.62Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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5.42College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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5.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.63Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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11.28Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.07Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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12.48SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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10.43George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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11.85Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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14.39Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 13.3% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| James Jacob | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| John Lawless | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 22.4% |
| Sam White | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% |
| James Mcavoy | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.