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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.76+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.93+4.31vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.97-0.49vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.45+1.52vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.43-1.04vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.10+0.96vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-2.26+2.06vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.78-1.65vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-1.80vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-1.28vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-1.28-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Brown University1.7640.9%1st Place
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6.31University of New Hampshire-0.933.6%1st Place
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2.51Boston University0.9728.7%1st Place
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5.52Bentley University-0.454.0%1st Place
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3.96Boston University0.4310.7%1st Place
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6.96Bentley University-1.102.3%1st Place
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9.06University of New Hampshire-2.260.7%1st Place
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6.35Bentley University-0.783.2%1st Place
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7.2Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.5%1st Place
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8.72Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.4%1st Place
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7.38Bentley University-1.282.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 40.9% | 32.1% | 16.4% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 28.7% | 26.9% | 21.6% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 4.0% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| John Cabell | 10.7% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 6.8% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 20.1% | 38.0% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
| Jason Dank | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 31.8% |
| Brett Tardie | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.