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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.34+5.23vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.99+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia-2.63+7.31vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.60+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.36+0.08vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.87-2.22vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.02-3.65vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-0.15-1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.21-3.68vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon0.61-6.69vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.26-6.54vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound-1.42-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23University of Washington0.340.1%1st Place
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4.46Western Washington University0.990.2%1st Place
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11.31University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Washington0.600.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Puget Sound0.360.1%1st Place
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4.78Western Washington University0.870.1%1st Place
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4.35Western Washington University1.020.2%1st Place
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7.24Oregon State University-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Victoria0.210.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Oregon0.610.1%1st Place
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6.46Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Puget Sound-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Scull | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Ian Reeves | 15.8% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 13.6% | 73.8% |
| Jake Antles | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| David Eva | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 13.8% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Debbi Kenote | 16.1% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Carl Fixsen | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 10.7% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Loeppky | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Emberley | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Hartman | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Cohan | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 13.2% | 44.9% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.