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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+8.59vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.61vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.07vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09+1.36vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.58vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+1.20vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71-0.23vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43+3.62vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.78+1.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.79vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-5.36vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.39+0.27vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.61+1.37vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.55-2.96vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.12vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.82-2.08vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.95-7.12vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.14-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.59Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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5.07Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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5.36College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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11.62Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.36George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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5.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.27Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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14.37Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.04Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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9.88Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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12.62SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Sam White | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.9% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% |
| James Mcavoy | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 30.4% |
| James Jacob | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| Maxwell Brill | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 22.9% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| John Lawless | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.