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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.14vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+7.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.17vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.55+7.15vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60+2.15vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.97vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-1.35vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.95+0.63vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.09-4.38vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43+0.87vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-2.03vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.53-5.66vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.82-0.39vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.39-3.12vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.61-1.40vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.78-6.46vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.14-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.62Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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11.15Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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5.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.63Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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5.62College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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11.87Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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13.61University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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11.88Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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14.6Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.54George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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12.63SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 13.4% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| James Jacob | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 13.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 21.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% |
| James Mcavoy | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 32.9% |
| Sam White | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| John Lawless | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.