← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University0.97+1.56vs Predicted
-
2Boston University0.43+2.00vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.76-0.99vs Predicted
-
4Bentley University-0.45+1.42vs Predicted
-
5Bentley University-0.78+1.15vs Predicted
-
6Bentley University-1.10+0.90vs Predicted
-
7Bentley University-1.28+0.62vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire-0.93-1.74vs Predicted
-
9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-1.68vs Predicted
-
10Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-1.38vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire-2.26-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.56Boston University0.9727.8%1st Place
-
4.0Boston University0.439.9%1st Place
-
2.01Brown University1.7642.6%1st Place
-
5.42Bentley University-0.455.1%1st Place
-
6.15Bentley University-0.784.2%1st Place
-
6.9Bentley University-1.102.4%1st Place
-
7.62Bentley University-1.281.4%1st Place
-
6.26University of New Hampshire-0.932.9%1st Place
-
7.32Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.311.9%1st Place
-
8.62Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.010.8%1st Place
-
9.14University of New Hampshire-2.261.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 27.8% | 27.9% | 21.9% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 9.9% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Brock | 42.6% | 29.0% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 11.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 8.2% |
| Jason Dank | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 20.5% | 28.1% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.