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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington0.60+3.55vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.99+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound0.36+2.11vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.61+0.38vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.15+1.33vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.87-2.25vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.21-1.70vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.26-2.79vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-2.63+1.38vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.02-7.63vs Predicted
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13University of Puget Sound-1.42-2.98vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.34-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55University of Washington0.600.1%1st Place
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4.46Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Puget Sound0.360.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Oregon0.610.1%1st Place
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7.33Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.75Western Washington University0.870.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Victoria0.210.1%1st Place
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6.21Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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11.38University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
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4.37Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Puget Sound-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Washington0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Antles | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Ian Reeves | 13.3% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Eva | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Emberley | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Carl Fixsen | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Loeppky | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Charles Hartman | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 16.5% | 72.8% |
| Debbi Kenote | 14.4% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Cohan | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 11.9% | 43.3% | 22.0% |
| Aaron Scull | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.