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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Syracuse University0.02+0.47vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.19+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.37-0.98vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.68-1.51vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.08-1.83vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.62-2.05vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.21-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Syracuse University0.020.3%1st Place
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4.25University of Delaware-1.190.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Maryland-0.370.2%1st Place
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3.49Drexel University-0.680.2%1st Place
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4.17Princeton University-1.080.1%1st Place
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4.95Rutgers University-1.620.1%1st Place
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5.66Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Sanders | 34.3% | 25.3% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Kelly | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 10.2% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 20.9% | 24.0% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 16.9% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 8.6% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 9.8% |
| Robert Jarrett | 6.3% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 24.1% | 24.0% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 4.2% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.