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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.02+1.47vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.62+2.95vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.370.00vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.68-0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.19-1.67vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-2.21-1.22vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-1.08-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Syracuse University0.020.3%1st Place
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4.95Rutgers University-1.620.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Maryland-0.370.2%1st Place
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3.51Drexel University-0.680.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Delaware-1.190.1%1st Place
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5.78Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
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3.97Princeton University-1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Sanders | 34.0% | 24.6% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Robert Jarrett | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 26.4% | 22.0% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 20.0% | 24.5% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 16.9% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 4.9% |
| Morgan Kelly | 7.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 19.9% | 11.9% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 51.4% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.