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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.02+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.37-0.05vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.08+0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.19-0.69vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.68-2.47vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.62-2.06vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.21-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Syracuse University0.020.3%1st Place
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2.95University of Maryland-0.370.2%1st Place
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4.15Princeton University-1.080.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Delaware-1.190.1%1st Place
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3.53Drexel University-0.680.1%1st Place
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4.94Rutgers University-1.620.1%1st Place
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5.64Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Sanders | 34.9% | 23.8% | 17.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 22.0% | 24.4% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 9.6% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 9.8% |
| Morgan Kelly | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 11.1% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 13.5% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 4.6% |
| Robert Jarrett | 6.7% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 23.9% | 23.7% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 18.9% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.