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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.02+1.47vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.68+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.37-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.19-0.69vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.08-1.85vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.62-2.08vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.21-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Syracuse University0.020.3%1st Place
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3.48Drexel University-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Maryland-0.370.2%1st Place
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4.31University of Delaware-1.190.1%1st Place
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4.15Princeton University-1.080.1%1st Place
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4.92Rutgers University-1.620.1%1st Place
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5.65Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Sanders | 34.7% | 25.1% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 14.8% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 21.4% | 22.4% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Kelly | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 20.1% | 10.8% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 9.5% |
| Robert Jarrett | 6.9% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 22.9% | 24.2% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 19.6% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.