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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Syracuse University0.02+0.52vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.37+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.95-0.02vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.62+0.07vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.21-0.19vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.08-2.82vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.68-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Syracuse University0.020.3%1st Place
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3.04University of Maryland-0.370.2%1st Place
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3.98University of Delaware-0.950.1%1st Place
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5.07Rutgers University-1.620.1%1st Place
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5.81Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
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4.18Princeton University-1.080.1%1st Place
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3.4Drexel University-0.680.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Sanders | 33.3% | 23.9% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 20.4% | 22.0% | 20.6% | 17.8% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Martha Diezemann | 10.9% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 7.9% |
| Robert Jarrett | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 28.1% | 24.0% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 21.1% | 50.0% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 10.9% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 17.9% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.