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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-1.01+1.50vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-2.19+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.97-0.59vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.79-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.21-1.78vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-3.12-1.51vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-3.32-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Syracuse University-1.010.3%1st Place
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4.14Penn State University-2.190.1%1st Place
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2.41University of Maryland-0.970.3%1st Place
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3.57Drexel University-1.790.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Delaware-2.210.1%1st Place
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5.49Rutgers University-3.120.0%1st Place
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5.66Princeton University-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Colby | 31.0% | 27.2% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Erica Stone | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 21.5% | 16.7% | 7.3% |
| Lauren Brown | 32.0% | 27.6% | 19.6% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| James Giebel | 14.5% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% |
| Robert Cathell | 7.4% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 8.5% |
| Maxwell Denn | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 25.8% | 35.8% |
| Ernest Ruehl | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 23.9% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.