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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.88+0.91vs Predicted
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2Unknown School-0.22+3.01vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.97+0.19vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-0.15-0.25vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.91+1.32vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.62-0.13vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.30-2.21vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.76-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.87-0.14vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of Michigan1.8847.2%1st Place
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5.01Unknown School-0.226.2%1st Place
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3.19Michigan Technological University0.9717.4%1st Place
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3.75Northern Michigan University-0.1511.8%1st Place
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6.32Grand Valley State University-0.912.9%1st Place
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5.87Unknown School-0.623.6%1st Place
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4.79Michigan Technological University-0.307.2%1st Place
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6.08Michigan State University-0.762.9%1st Place
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8.86University of Toledo-2.870.5%1st Place
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9.21Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Puertas | 47.2% | 28.4% | 15.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Dietsch | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 17.4% | 22.1% | 21.3% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marco Constantini | 11.8% | 16.9% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Reed Rossell | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 25.0% | 9.5% | 1.7% |
| Josh Hacker | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 6.7% | 0.7% |
| Alex Cross | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Kellan Gatt | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 21.8% | 8.3% | 1.2% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 41.3% | 39.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 29.5% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.