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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+4.29vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.07+9.69vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.05+1.42vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.81+4.71vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.78+4.10vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.49+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.50+3.05vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.56+1.94vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.26+1.81vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.50-4.10vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.64+2.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.44vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida4.17-5.96vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.29+0.78vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.03-3.23vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-5.64vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.00-5.03vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.37-7.58vs Predicted
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19University of Washington1.80-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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11.69Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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4.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.050.2%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University3.810.0%1st Place
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9.1College of Charleston3.780.0%1st Place
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6.05Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Miami3.500.0%1st Place
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9.94Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.260.0%1st Place
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5.9Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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13.43Yale University2.640.0%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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7.04University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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14.78Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.77Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.36Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.97SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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15.83University of Washington1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Riihiluoma | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| John Booth | 19.1% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Erik Bowers | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Fred Strammer | 12.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Weiksnar | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Gordon Lamphere | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Tedd Himler | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Vrolyk | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% |
| George Prieto | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Zachary Marks | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 20.1% |
| Collin Leon | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Ted Green | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
| Pete Hazelett | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| William Wilder | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.