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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.76+0.97vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.43+2.07vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.97-0.49vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-1.28+3.48vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.93+1.40vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.78+0.12vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.45-1.58vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-1.10-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-2.26+0.09vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-2.75vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Brown University1.7644.1%1st Place
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4.07Boston University0.4310.0%1st Place
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2.51Boston University0.9727.7%1st Place
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7.48Bentley University-1.281.6%1st Place
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6.4University of New Hampshire-0.932.6%1st Place
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6.12Bentley University-0.783.5%1st Place
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5.42Bentley University-0.454.8%1st Place
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7.02Bentley University-1.101.9%1st Place
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9.09University of New Hampshire-2.260.6%1st Place
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7.25Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.5%1st Place
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8.69Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.010.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 44.1% | 29.7% | 16.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 10.0% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 27.7% | 29.8% | 21.7% | 11.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 10.2% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| John O'Connell | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 40.1% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 8.9% |
| Jason Dank | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 21.4% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.