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📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Puget Sound0.36+4.17vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.26+3.30vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.61+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-2.63+5.40vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.99-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.60-2.58vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.02-4.72vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.87-5.30vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.21-4.69vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University-0.15-4.68vs Predicted
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13University of Puget Sound-1.42-2.98vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.34-7.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17University of Puget Sound0.360.1%1st Place
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6.3Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Oregon0.610.1%1st Place
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11.4University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
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4.51Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Washington0.600.1%1st Place
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4.28Western Washington University1.020.2%1st Place
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4.7Western Washington University0.870.2%1st Place
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6.31University of Victoria0.210.1%1st Place
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7.32Oregon State University-0.150.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Puget Sound-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Washington0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eva | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Charles Hartman | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Emberley | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 15.7% | 73.4% |
| Ian Reeves | 13.5% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jake Antles | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Debbi Kenote | 15.7% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 15.8% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Loeppky | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Carl Fixsen | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 2.4% |
| Kelsey Cohan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 45.5% | 21.3% |
| Aaron Scull | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.