← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University-1.01+1.49vs Predicted
-
3University of Maryland-0.97-0.60vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University-2.19+0.18vs Predicted
-
5University of Delaware-2.21-0.80vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-1.79-2.37vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-3.12-1.53vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-3.32-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.49Syracuse University-1.010.3%1st Place
-
2.4University of Maryland-0.970.3%1st Place
-
4.18Penn State University-2.190.1%1st Place
-
4.2University of Delaware-2.210.1%1st Place
-
3.63Drexel University-1.790.1%1st Place
-
5.47Rutgers University-3.120.0%1st Place
-
5.63Princeton University-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Colby | 32.9% | 24.6% | 18.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Brown | 32.4% | 27.5% | 20.2% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Erica Stone | 8.1% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 8.3% |
| Robert Cathell | 8.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 9.0% |
| James Giebel | 11.6% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| Maxwell Denn | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 27.1% | 34.4% |
| Ernest Ruehl | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.