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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-1.01+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.97+0.42vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-2.19+1.17vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.79-0.43vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-3.12-0.47vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-3.32-1.26vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.21-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Syracuse University-1.010.3%1st Place
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2.42University of Maryland-0.970.3%1st Place
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4.17Penn State University-2.190.1%1st Place
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3.57Drexel University-1.790.1%1st Place
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5.53Rutgers University-3.120.0%1st Place
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5.74Princeton University-3.320.0%1st Place
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4.07University of Delaware-2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Colby | 31.8% | 26.1% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Brown | 30.3% | 30.0% | 19.3% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Erica Stone | 8.5% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 8.0% |
| James Giebel | 13.7% | 14.5% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 18.0% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Maxwell Denn | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 26.3% | 36.7% |
| Ernest Ruehl | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 25.0% | 43.7% |
| Robert Cathell | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 22.3% | 16.5% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.