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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-1.01+1.25vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-2.19+1.70vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.79+0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.97-1.75vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-3.32-0.82vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-3.12-2.15vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-5.12-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Syracuse University-1.010.4%1st Place
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3.7Penn State University-2.190.1%1st Place
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3.19Drexel University-1.790.1%1st Place
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2.25University of Maryland-0.970.3%1st Place
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5.18Princeton University-3.320.0%1st Place
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4.85Rutgers University-3.120.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Delaware-5.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Colby | 35.4% | 28.4% | 19.4% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Erica Stone | 9.5% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 25.0% | 21.9% | 8.9% | 1.6% |
| James Giebel | 13.7% | 20.4% | 22.9% | 24.9% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Brown | 34.4% | 28.1% | 21.3% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Ruehl | 2.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 24.2% | 38.5% | 13.0% |
| Maxwell Denn | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 27.5% | 33.9% | 6.7% |
| Anna Cummings | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.