Race 2A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sam Morrell 17.2% 16.9% 13.2% 13.1% 10.7% 7.1% 8.3% 5.1% 3.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Aaron Klein 3.3% 3.8% 4.1% 5.8% 6.9% 5.7% 5.5% 7.2% 9.3% 10.6% 15.9% 13.6% 7.2% 1.1%
Colin Brego 15.0% 15.4% 12.4% 12.0% 9.3% 10.3% 7.6% 8.1% 4.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 9.2% 10.5% 11.1% 9.3% 10.0% 10.3% 10.3% 9.3% 6.7% 7.3% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Dylan Farrell 7.1% 8.8% 10.8% 7.2% 9.5% 10.0% 9.3% 9.0% 9.2% 9.3% 5.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Jan Kite-Powell 11.3% 10.0% 11.7% 10.9% 10.5% 10.9% 9.1% 6.5% 8.2% 5.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Nathan Housberg 8.0% 8.7% 7.2% 8.9% 8.0% 10.1% 8.6% 10.1% 8.6% 8.5% 8.5% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Skye Shepherd 4.2% 4.1% 4.6% 5.3% 4.7% 5.6% 5.9% 8.8% 9.7% 11.4% 13.1% 13.4% 7.6% 1.6%
Nicholas Memoli 2.7% 2.4% 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 3.4% 3.6% 5.8% 8.3% 9.6% 14.8% 23.5% 14.7% 3.8%
James Peraire-Bueno 4.8% 4.3% 4.2% 5.3% 7.2% 7.1% 8.7% 9.3% 9.3% 11.7% 13.0% 11.1% 3.5% 0.5%
Frank Reeg 7.3% 7.1% 7.6% 8.3% 8.7% 8.1% 10.3% 9.9% 9.6% 8.6% 6.5% 6.2% 1.7% 0.1%
Alexander Vasiliou 8.4% 7.2% 10.3% 10.2% 10.0% 9.5% 10.2% 8.3% 9.1% 6.8% 5.1% 3.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Patrick Buehler 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.7% 4.2% 5.4% 12.7% 45.2% 19.9%
Christian Palanza 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 2.4% 3.6% 16.1% 72.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.