Race 3A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Aaron Klein 3.4% 3.6% 3.7% 5.5% 4.9% 5.8% 6.9% 8.0% 8.5% 13.0% 13.1% 14.6% 7.1% 1.9%
Jan Kite-Powell 12.8% 12.8% 10.3% 11.2% 10.3% 10.1% 9.2% 8.4% 6.3% 4.3% 2.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 2.8% 2.0% 2.7% 3.0% 3.4% 5.1% 5.5% 5.6% 4.1% 9.3% 13.1% 25.1% 15.6% 2.7%
James Peraire-Bueno 4.2% 5.1% 5.3% 5.3% 7.4% 7.2% 6.7% 9.5% 11.0% 11.1% 11.7% 11.1% 3.9% 0.5%
Dylan Farrell 7.7% 8.4% 9.1% 11.3% 8.3% 9.3% 9.3% 8.4% 9.7% 8.1% 6.2% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Skye Shepherd 4.0% 3.7% 3.4% 3.6% 5.1% 6.6% 6.3% 8.4% 10.3% 11.8% 14.5% 14.0% 7.4% 0.9%
Frank Reeg 7.9% 8.7% 8.7% 6.9% 10.1% 9.3% 9.6% 8.6% 9.7% 8.4% 7.8% 2.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Colin Brego 15.4% 15.0% 12.9% 10.2% 9.3% 9.8% 8.9% 5.5% 6.3% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Morrell 16.2% 14.5% 14.7% 12.2% 11.4% 8.8% 7.3% 6.1% 3.8% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 8.9% 9.1% 11.3% 11.2% 10.2% 9.1% 9.1% 8.5% 9.2% 6.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Nathan Housberg 7.5% 7.1% 7.0% 8.1% 8.8% 7.0% 9.9% 10.3% 10.4% 9.6% 7.7% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Alexander Vasiliou 7.8% 9.0% 10.0% 10.1% 9.6% 9.9% 9.2% 9.5% 8.2% 6.1% 6.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.0%
Patrick Buehler 1.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% 3.3% 7.3% 11.9% 45.5% 20.1%
Christian Palanza 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 2.4% 4.7% 14.6% 73.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.