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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.06+3.26vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+5.54vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+3.02vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.55+4.58vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.47+3.74vs Predicted
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6Bentley University1.03+3.93vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.93-2.56vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.56-3.36vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.20-3.30vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.38-4.86vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-6.73vs Predicted
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13Yale University-0.08-1.08vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-1.23-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Boston University3.060.2%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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6.02Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.58Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.93Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.44Boston College2.930.2%1st Place
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6.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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6.7Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.14Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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11.92Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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13.33Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Morrell | 18.4% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Aaron Klein | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 16.0% | 4.2% |
| Colin Brego | 16.3% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Buehler | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 13.4% | 43.5% | 19.9% |
| Christian Palanza | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 16.1% | 72.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.