Race 5A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alexander Vasiliou 7.9% 9.7% 10.9% 10.2% 10.0% 8.4% 9.9% 8.5% 7.8% 6.7% 5.8% 3.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 10.8% 10.3% 11.0% 10.5% 10.2% 10.1% 9.1% 9.8% 6.2% 6.1% 3.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 12.4% 11.9% 11.6% 10.6% 10.2% 9.4% 7.9% 9.6% 6.8% 5.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sam Morrell 15.9% 17.3% 12.1% 14.6% 10.5% 8.5% 7.5% 5.3% 4.2% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Aaron Klein 2.6% 2.8% 4.6% 4.4% 5.0% 6.3% 6.0% 7.9% 8.9% 12.7% 13.4% 15.4% 8.2% 1.8%
Colin Brego 14.7% 13.1% 13.0% 13.1% 9.2% 9.6% 8.1% 6.2% 6.6% 3.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Frank Reeg 8.3% 8.7% 7.7% 7.9% 9.2% 10.1% 9.1% 9.0% 9.6% 8.1% 7.6% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Nathan Housberg 7.6% 7.3% 8.6% 6.5% 8.0% 10.3% 7.4% 9.5% 9.9% 8.4% 9.2% 6.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Dylan Farrell 8.6% 7.8% 8.9% 9.0% 9.2% 9.5% 11.6% 9.4% 8.2% 8.1% 5.5% 2.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Skye Shepherd 3.4% 3.7% 3.0% 3.7% 6.6% 6.1% 6.6% 8.6% 9.1% 13.5% 13.3% 14.7% 6.6% 1.1%
Nicholas Memoli 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 5.9% 5.6% 5.7% 9.5% 14.6% 22.6% 17.3% 3.0%
James Peraire-Bueno 4.4% 4.1% 6.0% 5.3% 7.2% 6.8% 8.3% 8.3% 12.3% 10.9% 12.3% 8.9% 4.3% 0.9%
Patrick Buehler 1.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.8% 2.1% 1.8% 3.7% 3.6% 6.6% 13.2% 43.0% 20.4%
Christian Palanza 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 5.0% 15.6% 72.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.