Race 6A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Gibbs 9.9% 11.1% 11.8% 9.3% 10.8% 10.2% 8.3% 7.3% 7.5% 5.9% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Aaron Klein 3.1% 4.2% 3.3% 6.0% 6.5% 4.7% 6.2% 6.8% 9.9% 11.9% 14.0% 14.4% 7.6% 1.4%
Colin Brego 16.1% 13.9% 12.7% 12.8% 9.6% 8.6% 8.8% 7.5% 4.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 11.0% 12.2% 11.1% 10.9% 9.5% 11.3% 9.4% 7.1% 6.1% 6.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Vasiliou 7.4% 9.6% 9.1% 9.8% 9.8% 8.0% 9.2% 10.3% 8.5% 8.5% 5.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Sam Morrell 16.8% 14.1% 14.1% 11.6% 12.4% 9.2% 6.5% 5.8% 4.7% 2.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Farrell 9.9% 9.5% 9.8% 9.9% 8.8% 7.8% 11.6% 8.9% 7.3% 7.6% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Frank Reeg 7.9% 7.5% 8.7% 7.8% 8.7% 8.6% 8.7% 9.7% 9.0% 8.2% 8.5% 5.0% 1.6% 0.1%
Nathan Housberg 7.3% 6.3% 8.1% 7.4% 8.3% 9.1% 9.1% 10.6% 11.0% 9.4% 7.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.2%
James Peraire-Bueno 4.7% 3.8% 3.9% 6.6% 6.5% 9.6% 7.1% 8.3% 11.1% 10.3% 12.0% 11.1% 4.5% 0.5%
Nicholas Memoli 1.6% 2.8% 2.1% 1.7% 3.2% 5.1% 4.9% 6.7% 6.2% 7.5% 14.8% 22.3% 17.9% 3.2%
Skye Shepherd 3.3% 3.7% 4.4% 4.5% 4.7% 6.0% 8.2% 8.2% 10.5% 12.1% 12.1% 14.1% 6.8% 1.4%
Christian Palanza 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 2.4% 4.7% 13.2% 74.0%
Patrick Buehler 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 2.6% 5.1% 6.6% 13.8% 43.7% 18.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.