← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Washington0.60+3.52vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.26+3.33vs Predicted
-
4University of Puget Sound0.36+2.09vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.87-1.15vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon0.61-1.60vs Predicted
-
8University of British Columbia-2.63+3.31vs Predicted
-
9Oregon State University-0.15-1.73vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria0.21-3.63vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University1.02-6.77vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University0.99-7.55vs Predicted
-
13University of Puget Sound-1.42-3.00vs Predicted
-
14University of Washington0.34-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.52University of Washington0.600.1%1st Place
-
6.33Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
-
6.09University of Puget Sound0.360.1%1st Place
-
4.85Western Washington University0.870.1%1st Place
-
5.4University of Oregon0.610.1%1st Place
-
11.31University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
-
7.27Oregon State University-0.150.1%1st Place
-
6.37University of Victoria0.210.1%1st Place
-
4.23Western Washington University1.020.2%1st Place
-
4.45Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
-
10.0University of Puget Sound-1.420.0%1st Place
-
6.17University of Washington0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Antles | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Charles Hartman | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| David Eva | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 11.5% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Emberley | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 12.6% | 74.5% |
| Carl Fixsen | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Loeppky | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Debbi Kenote | 16.0% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Cohan | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 47.1% | 19.2% |
| Aaron Scull | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.