Race 7A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nathan Housberg 6.5% 7.7% 9.6% 8.8% 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 10.7% 9.5% 8.0% 8.0% 3.3% 2.3% 0.3%
Jan Kite-Powell 13.3% 11.1% 12.0% 10.2% 11.1% 9.4% 10.5% 7.8% 5.8% 3.7% 2.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Sam Morrell 17.4% 16.5% 13.3% 12.6% 10.5% 8.0% 7.1% 7.7% 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Colin Brego 13.3% 15.0% 12.4% 13.1% 9.7% 10.0% 8.6% 5.5% 5.7% 3.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Skye Shepherd 3.2% 2.9% 4.4% 5.2% 5.6% 6.8% 6.0% 7.7% 9.4% 11.3% 13.7% 15.5% 7.3% 1.0%
Dylan Farrell 9.0% 7.2% 8.8% 9.0% 9.8% 9.7% 9.1% 9.9% 9.6% 7.2% 5.4% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Patrick Buehler 0.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 3.6% 5.0% 7.4% 11.4% 42.3% 19.9%
Matthew Gibbs 10.4% 11.6% 9.5% 9.7% 10.6% 10.0% 9.3% 7.9% 7.2% 6.5% 3.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 3.3% 2.1% 1.8% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 3.3% 6.1% 6.8% 12.6% 12.1% 22.8% 16.4% 3.3%
Alexander Vasiliou 8.0% 8.2% 10.2% 8.7% 10.8% 8.7% 10.8% 8.4% 8.9% 7.2% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0%
James Peraire-Bueno 4.8% 4.7% 4.6% 5.5% 6.3% 8.1% 9.5% 6.9% 11.1% 11.7% 10.9% 10.7% 4.8% 0.4%
Frank Reeg 6.3% 7.7% 7.3% 9.8% 9.2% 9.0% 8.2% 10.3% 9.5% 8.4% 8.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Aaron Klein 3.7% 3.7% 5.0% 3.5% 4.3% 5.9% 5.8% 8.5% 9.9% 11.3% 15.3% 14.3% 7.2% 1.6%
Christian Palanza 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 2.4% 4.2% 15.4% 73.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.