Race 8A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jan Kite-Powell 11.2% 13.2% 11.9% 10.2% 9.7% 11.0% 8.8% 7.9% 6.4% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sam Morrell 18.7% 14.4% 14.4% 14.2% 9.9% 9.7% 6.4% 4.1% 4.0% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Housberg 6.8% 7.9% 7.6% 7.7% 8.5% 8.8% 7.4% 9.5% 12.7% 9.4% 8.4% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Alexander Vasiliou 8.1% 9.0% 9.7% 9.4% 8.9% 10.7% 9.9% 8.6% 9.0% 7.2% 4.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.0%
Skye Shepherd 3.0% 3.4% 4.3% 4.3% 6.5% 6.3% 7.1% 8.0% 9.8% 12.8% 11.6% 15.2% 6.7% 1.0%
Matthew Gibbs 9.9% 9.4% 10.0% 10.6% 11.2% 8.4% 10.4% 7.6% 8.5% 6.8% 4.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Colin Brego 15.4% 15.8% 13.3% 12.1% 10.7% 9.2% 8.2% 7.0% 4.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Frank Reeg 7.6% 7.8% 8.3% 7.2% 9.2% 9.1% 9.7% 11.2% 7.5% 8.7% 7.7% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Aaron Klein 4.0% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 4.8% 4.8% 7.6% 8.5% 8.7% 12.5% 15.7% 14.1% 8.5% 1.1%
James Peraire-Bueno 4.3% 3.5% 5.5% 6.3% 6.8% 7.5% 8.2% 9.0% 10.3% 10.7% 12.8% 10.3% 4.1% 0.7%
Patrick Buehler 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 1.6% 0.9% 1.2% 2.5% 4.5% 7.4% 11.3% 44.4% 22.1%
Dylan Farrell 7.7% 8.9% 7.3% 11.2% 9.7% 9.4% 9.7% 9.5% 9.5% 6.3% 5.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Nicholas Memoli 2.7% 2.5% 2.8% 2.5% 3.1% 3.1% 5.0% 7.2% 6.6% 10.0% 13.2% 24.4% 14.0% 2.9%
Christian Palanza 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.3% 2.5% 4.5% 16.7% 71.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.