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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.70+3.98vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.47+6.06vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.94+3.99vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.43+1.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+2.52vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38-0.04vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.49-3.89vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.78vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.93-4.47vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.29+1.15vs Predicted
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11Bentley University1.03-1.47vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.20-5.62vs Predicted
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13Yale University-0.08-1.35vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.23-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.74Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.11Boston University3.490.3%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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4.53Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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11.15Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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9.53Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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11.65Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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13.19Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kite-Powell | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 27.3% | 21.0% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Berry | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 24.9% | 26.7% | 10.7% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Buehler | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 19.8% | 34.6% | 17.7% |
| Christian Palanza | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 15.2% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.