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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.38+4.79vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.70+2.84vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.49+0.18vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+3.45vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.43+0.86vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.93-1.47vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.98vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.47+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.94-1.82vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.29+1.14vs Predicted
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11Bentley University1.03-1.50vs Predicted
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12Yale University-0.08-0.27vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.20-7.69vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.23-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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3.18Boston University3.490.3%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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5.86Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.53Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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6.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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11.14Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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9.5Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.73Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.31Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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13.21Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Farrell | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 26.8% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Aaron Klein | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Carly Berry | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 21.8% | 26.4% | 11.2% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Buehler | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 10.4% | 20.7% | 34.4% | 16.6% |
| Nathan Housberg | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Palanza | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 14.8% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.