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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+5.19vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.70+2.83vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.47+5.28vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+3.45vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.20+1.42vs Predicted
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6Yale University-0.08+5.79vs Predicted
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7Bentley University1.03+2.24vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.49-4.75vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.38-3.06vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.93-5.49vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.43-5.19vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.29-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.94-6.03vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.23-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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6.42Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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11.79Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.24Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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3.25Boston University3.490.3%1st Place
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5.94Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.51Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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5.81Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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11.12Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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13.21Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 13.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Buehler | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 18.9% | 34.4% | 19.1% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 2.6% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 25.5% | 21.5% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 12.3% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carly Berry | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 24.0% | 27.7% | 9.6% |
| Matthew Schryver | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Christian Palanza | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 7.9% | 16.4% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.