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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+5.98vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.43+3.56vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.49+0.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.20+2.37vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+2.53vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70-2.21vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.74vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.93-4.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.47-1.56vs Predicted
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11Bentley University1.03-1.49vs Predicted
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12Yale University-0.08-0.25vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.29-1.98vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.23-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.56Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.17Boston University3.490.3%1st Place
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6.37Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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5.94Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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6.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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4.48Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.51Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.75Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.02Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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13.19Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 27.3% | 20.2% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colin Brego | 12.9% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 2.0% |
| Patrick Buehler | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 35.0% | 17.3% |
| Carly Berry | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 23.5% | 25.1% | 10.7% |
| Christian Palanza | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 17.0% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.