Race 1B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alden Grimes 18.2% 19.4% 15.1% 11.4% 8.5% 8.6% 5.9% 4.9% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Kyle Dochoda 14.4% 12.3% 14.1% 10.2% 11.7% 10.1% 9.0% 6.2% 5.1% 3.3% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2%
Rachel Foster 9.7% 10.9% 9.2% 10.3% 9.9% 9.1% 9.9% 8.6% 8.3% 5.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Jake Rizika 6.5% 8.9% 10.0% 8.2% 9.8% 9.4% 10.3% 10.0% 7.7% 8.0% 6.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Emery Wallace 2.2% 2.9% 3.5% 3.7% 5.7% 5.2% 5.3% 6.3% 8.1% 10.3% 13.5% 18.0% 12.7% 2.6%
Austen Freda 7.2% 5.6% 6.1% 9.4% 8.8% 10.1% 8.8% 8.7% 8.6% 9.2% 7.5% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Christopher Pearson 6.7% 6.6% 6.1% 8.8% 6.8% 7.7% 9.1% 9.5% 9.7% 10.3% 8.9% 6.7% 2.7% 0.4%
Cameron Nash 9.7% 10.4% 9.5% 8.9% 9.2% 8.4% 9.4% 9.0% 7.7% 7.6% 6.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Erica Brown 3.3% 2.4% 2.7% 3.1% 4.2% 4.0% 4.3% 6.7% 8.6% 11.4% 15.1% 17.7% 13.2% 3.3%
Brian Kiley 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 3.3% 3.6% 7.8% 13.0% 41.3% 21.0%
Andrew Puopolo 8.6% 6.4% 8.7% 9.9% 10.3% 8.2% 8.8% 9.4% 8.3% 8.4% 7.2% 3.6% 2.0% 0.2%
Joseph Chamberlin 3.8% 4.0% 4.6% 5.3% 4.1% 8.1% 7.7% 9.1% 11.4% 10.1% 10.4% 13.1% 6.8% 1.5%
Anna Strait 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.9% 2.7% 5.4% 15.4% 70.0%
Alexander Bowen 8.1% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.4% 9.4% 9.4% 9.3% 8.7% 8.2% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.